Torquay United vs Weston-super-Mare Prediction & Preview
National League N/S (England) · Aug 18, 2026 · kickoff 18:45 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
NATIONAL LEAGUE N/S (ENGLAND)
Torquay United vs Weston-super-Mare
Model pick: Torquay United (46%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.64 – 1.18
Total goals: 2.8
Over 2.5: 53%
Both teams score: 55%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Torquay United | Weston-super-Mare |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.0 / 0.8 | 1.6 / 1.0 |
*Torquay United shown at home, Weston-super-Mare shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Torquay United — last 5
WLWWD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 28% of the time; 65% of home games go over 2.5.
Weston-super-Mare — last 5
LWLLW
On the road: clean sheet 25% of the time; 56% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Torquay United (home) | Weston-super-Mare (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 28% | 25% |
| Both teams scored | 59% | 57% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 65% | 56% |
National League N/S (England) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.79
Home wins: 43%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 32%
Over 2.5: 53%
BTTS: 54%
Use these National League N/S (England) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.64 vs 1.18):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (12%) |
| Double chance — Torquay United or draw (1X) | 73% |
| Double chance — Weston-super-Mare or draw (X2) | 52% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 76% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 77% / 23% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 31% / 69% |
| Torquay United clean sheet | 31% |
| Weston-super-Mare clean sheet | 19% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Torquay United is the model's most likely outcome at
46%. Torquay United are backed at home, where they average 2.1 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (47% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
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❓ Torquay United vs Weston-super-Mare — FAQ
Who will win Torquay United vs Weston-super-Mare?
Our statistical model makes Torquay United the most likely result at 46%. Full probabilities: Torquay United 46%, draw 26%, Weston-super-Mare 28%.
Will both teams score in Torquay United vs Weston-super-Mare?
The model gives a 55% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Torquay United vs Weston-super-Mare?
Expected goals are 1.64 for Torquay United and 1.18 for Weston-super-Mare — about 2.8 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Torquay United vs Weston-super-Mare?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (12%). Double chance for Torquay United or draw is 73%.