TP-47 vs Vaajakoski Prediction & Preview
Kakkonen (Finland) · Aug 22, 2026 · kickoff 12:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
KAKKONEN (FINLAND)
TP-47 vs Vaajakoski
Model pick: Vaajakoski (55%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.73 – 1.61
Total goals: 2.3
Over 2.5: 46%
Both teams score: 48%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| TP-47 | Vaajakoski |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.4 / 2.4 | 1.4 / 2.0 |
*TP-47 shown at home, Vaajakoski shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
TP-47 — last 5
LLLWL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 67% of home games go over 2.5.
Vaajakoski — last 5
LWLWD
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | TP-47 (home) | Vaajakoski (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 67% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% | 100% |
Kakkonen (Finland) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 4.03
Home wins: 55%
Draws: 16%
Away wins: 29%
Over 2.5: 72%
BTTS: 65%
Use these Kakkonen (Finland) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.73 vs 1.61):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-1 (16%) |
| Double chance — TP-47 or draw (1X) | 42% |
| Double chance — Vaajakoski or draw (X2) | 83% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 75% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 68% / 32% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 21% / 79% |
| TP-47 clean sheet | 20% |
| Vaajakoski clean sheet | 48% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Vaajakoski is the model's most likely outcome at
55%. Despite playing away, Vaajakoski edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (54% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ TP-47 vs Vaajakoski — FAQ
Who will win TP-47 vs Vaajakoski?
Our statistical model makes Vaajakoski the most likely result at 55%. Full probabilities: TP-47 19%, draw 26%, Vaajakoski 55%.
Will both teams score in TP-47 vs Vaajakoski?
The model gives a 48% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in TP-47 vs Vaajakoski?
Expected goals are 0.73 for TP-47 and 1.61 for Vaajakoski — about 2.3 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in TP-47 vs Vaajakoski?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-1 (16%). Double chance for TP-47 or draw is 42%.