Tractor vs Persepolis Prediction & Preview
Premier League (Iran) ยท Aug 24, 2026 ยท kickoff 15:00 UTC ยท model-based analysis by GoalSoon
PREMIER LEAGUE (IRAN)
Tractor vs Persepolis
Model pick: Tractor (40%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
๐ Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.14 โ 0.91
Total goals: 2.0
Over 2.5: 41%
Both teams score: 48%
โ๏ธ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Tractor | Persepolis |
| League position | #2 (6 pts) | #5 (3 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 2.0 / 0.0 | 2.0 / 0.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 100% | 100% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.4 / 0.6 | 1.0 / 1.2 |
*Tractor shown at home, Persepolis shown away โ the split that matters for this fixture.
๐ฅ Recent Form
Tractor โ last 5
LDWWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 46% of the time; 41% of home games go over 2.5.
Persepolis โ last 5
WLLLW
On the road: clean sheet 52% of the time; 35% of away games go over 2.5.
๐ Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Tractor (home) | Persepolis (away) |
| This season record | 1-0-0 in 1 (2.0 / 0.0 goals per game) | 1-0-0 in 1 (2.0 / 0.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 46% | 52% |
| Both teams scored | 44% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 41% | 35% |
| Top scorer | Regi Lushkja (3) | โ |
Premier League (Iran) โ league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.01
Home wins: 38%
Draws: 35%
Away wins: 27%
Over 2.5: 33%
BTTS: 41%
Use these Premier League (Iran) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
๐ฒ More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.14 vs 0.91):
| Market | Model probability |
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (15%) |
| Double chance โ Tractor or draw (1X) | 71% |
| Double chance โ Persepolis or draw (X2) | 59% |
| Double chance โ either team (12) | 70% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 61% / 39% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 15% / 85% |
| Tractor clean sheet | 40% |
| Persepolis clean sheet | 32% |
๐ฏ Our Verdict
Tractor is the model's most likely outcome at
40%. Tractor are backed at home, where they average 1.5 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (59% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees โ football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game โ goalsoon.com
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โ Tractor vs Persepolis โ FAQ
Who will win Tractor vs Persepolis?
Our statistical model makes Tractor the most likely result at 40%. Full probabilities: Tractor 40%, draw 31%, Persepolis 30%.
Will both teams score in Tractor vs Persepolis?
The model gives a 48% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Tractor vs Persepolis?
Expected goals are 1.14 for Tractor and 0.91 for Persepolis โ about 2.0 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Tractor vs Persepolis?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (15%). Double chance for Tractor or draw is 71%.