Trans vs Tammeka Prediction & Preview
Meistriliiga (Estonia) · Aug 30, 2026 · kickoff 16:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
MEISTRILIIGA (ESTONIA)
Trans vs Tammeka
Model pick: Trans (39%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.77 – 1.25
Total goals: 3.0
Over 2.5: 55%
Both teams score: 58%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Trans | Tammeka |
|---|
| League position | #10 (17 pts) | #5 (32 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.2 / 1.7 | 1.1 / 2.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 33% | 40% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.2 / 1.6 | 4.6 / 1.0 |
*Trans shown at home, Tammeka shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Trans — last 5
WLWDL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 22% of the time; 54% of home games go over 2.5.
Tammeka — last 5
WLWWW
On the road: clean sheet 19% of the time; 62% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Trans (home) | Tammeka (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 4-1-7 in 12 (1.2 / 1.7 goals per game) | 4-1-5 in 10 (1.1 / 2.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 22% | 19% |
| Both teams scored | 53% | 57% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54% | 62% |
Meistriliiga (Estonia) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.22
Home wins: 43%
Draws: 19%
Away wins: 38%
Over 2.5: 62%
BTTS: 51%
Use these Meistriliiga (Estonia) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.77 vs 1.25):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (11%) |
| Double chance — Trans or draw (1X) | 73% |
| Double chance — Tammeka or draw (X2) | 50% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 77% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 80% / 20% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 36% / 64% |
| Trans clean sheet | 29% |
| Tammeka clean sheet | 17% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Trans is the model's most likely outcome at
39%. Trans are backed at home, where they average 1.4 goals a game. With expected goals of 3.0, this shapes as an open game (55% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Trans vs Tammeka — FAQ
Who will win Trans vs Tammeka?
Our statistical model makes Trans the most likely result at 39%. Full probabilities: Trans 39%, draw 26%, Tammeka 35%.
Will both teams score in Trans vs Tammeka?
The model gives a 58% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Trans vs Tammeka?
Expected goals are 1.77 for Trans and 1.25 for Tammeka — about 3.0 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Trans vs Tammeka?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (11%). Double chance for Trans or draw is 73%.