TransINVEST Vilnius vs FA Šiauliai Prediction & Preview
A Lyga (Lithuania) · Aug 24, 2026 · kickoff 15:45 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
A LYGA (LITHUANIA)
TransINVEST Vilnius vs FA Šiauliai
Model pick: FA Šiauliai (38%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.22 – 1.33
Total goals: 2.5
Over 2.5: 49%
Both teams score: 53%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| TransINVEST Vilnius | FA Šiauliai |
|---|
| League position | #5 (36 pts) | #9 (16 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.0 / 1.2 | 1.0 / 1.8 |
| Win rate this season* | 36% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.0 / 1.4 | 1.0 / 2.6 |
*TransINVEST Vilnius shown at home, FA Šiauliai shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
TransINVEST Vilnius — last 5
LWWLD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 24% of the time; 52% of home games go over 2.5.
FA Šiauliai — last 5
LLLLW
On the road: clean sheet 26% of the time; 53% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | TransINVEST Vilnius (home) | FA Šiauliai (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 4-3-4 in 11 (1.0 / 1.2 goals per game) | 0-6-6 in 12 (1.0 / 1.8 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 24% | 26% |
| Both teams scored | 38% | 51% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52% | 53% |
A Lyga (Lithuania) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.64
Home wins: 41%
Draws: 24%
Away wins: 35%
Over 2.5: 49%
BTTS: 47%
Use these A Lyga (Lithuania) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.22 vs 1.33):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (13%) |
| Double chance — TransINVEST Vilnius or draw (1X) | 61% |
| Double chance — FA Šiauliai or draw (X2) | 66% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 73% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 72% / 28% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 25% / 75% |
| TransINVEST Vilnius clean sheet | 26% |
| FA Šiauliai clean sheet | 30% |
🎯 Our Verdict
FA Šiauliai is the model's most likely outcome at
38%. Despite playing away, FA Šiauliai edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (51% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ TransINVEST Vilnius vs FA Šiauliai — FAQ
Who will win TransINVEST Vilnius vs FA Šiauliai?
Our statistical model makes FA Šiauliai the most likely result at 38%. Full probabilities: TransINVEST Vilnius 34%, draw 28%, FA Šiauliai 38%.
Will both teams score in TransINVEST Vilnius vs FA Šiauliai?
The model gives a 53% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in TransINVEST Vilnius vs FA Šiauliai?
Expected goals are 1.22 for TransINVEST Vilnius and 1.33 for FA Šiauliai — about 2.5 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in TransINVEST Vilnius vs FA Šiauliai?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (13%). Double chance for TransINVEST Vilnius or draw is 61%.