Tristán Suárez vs Agropecuario Prediction & Preview
Argentino B (Argentina) · Aug 22, 2026 · kickoff 18:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
ARGENTINO B (ARGENTINA)
Tristán Suárez vs Agropecuario
Model pick: Tristán Suárez (44%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.03 – 0.3
Total goals: 1.3
Over 2.5: 28%
Both teams score: 38%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Tristán Suárez | Agropecuario |
|---|
| League position | #1 (45 pts) | #15 (29 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.2 / 0.6 | 0.7 / 1.6 |
| Win rate this season* | 50% | 8% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.4 / 0.4 | 1.6 / 0.8 |
*Tristán Suárez shown at home, Agropecuario shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Tristán Suárez — last 5
LWWWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 43% of the time; 37% of home games go over 2.5.
Agropecuario — last 5
DWLWW
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 33% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Tristán Suárez (home) | Agropecuario (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 6-5-1 in 12 (1.2 / 0.6 goals per game) | 1-4-7 in 12 (0.7 / 1.6 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 43% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 40% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 37% | 33% |
Argentino B (Argentina) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.15
Home wins: 52%
Draws: 28%
Away wins: 20%
Over 2.5: 36%
BTTS: 46%
Use these Argentino B (Argentina) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.03 vs 0.3):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (27%) |
| Double chance — Tristán Suárez or draw (1X) | 89% |
| Double chance — Agropecuario or draw (X2) | 46% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 65% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 38% / 62% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 5% / 95% |
| Tristán Suárez clean sheet | 74% |
| Agropecuario clean sheet | 36% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Tristán Suárez is the model's most likely outcome at
44%. Tristán Suárez are backed at home, where they average 1.3 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (72% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
40+ leagues
1X2 · O/U · BTTS · xG
JSON REST
Free tier available
Get API access on RapidAPI →
❓ Tristán Suárez vs Agropecuario — FAQ
Who will win Tristán Suárez vs Agropecuario?
Our statistical model makes Tristán Suárez the most likely result at 44%. Full probabilities: Tristán Suárez 44%, draw 34%, Agropecuario 22%.
Will both teams score in Tristán Suárez vs Agropecuario?
The model gives a 38% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Tristán Suárez vs Agropecuario?
Expected goals are 1.03 for Tristán Suárez and 0.3 for Agropecuario — about 1.3 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Tristán Suárez vs Agropecuario?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (27%). Double chance for Tristán Suárez or draw is 89%.