Tromsø vs CFR Cluj Prediction & Preview
Europa Conference League (Europe) · Aug 13, 2026 · kickoff 17:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE (EUROPE)
Tromsø vs CFR Cluj
Model pick: Tromsø (74%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 6.7 – 0.06
Total goals: 6.8
Over 2.5: 76%
Both teams score: 42%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Tromsø | CFR Cluj |
|---|
| League position | #3 (34 pts) | #12 (3 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 2.0 / 0.8 | 1.0 / 2.5 |
| Win rate this season* | 67% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 3.2 / 1.4 | 2.0 / 1.8 |
*Tromsø shown at home, CFR Cluj shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Tromsø — last 5
WLLWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 31% of the time; 60% of home games go over 2.5.
CFR Cluj — last 5
DWWLL
On the road: clean sheet 38% of the time; 42% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Tromsø (home) | CFR Cluj (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 6-2-1 in 9 (2.0 / 0.8 goals per game) | 0-0-2 in 2 (1.0 / 2.5 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 31% | 38% |
| Both teams scored | 57% | 52% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 42% |
| Top scorer | – | Jovo Lukic (18) |
Europa Conference League (Europe) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.94
Home wins: 49%
Draws: 21%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 56%
BTTS: 50%
Use these Europa Conference League (Europe) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (6.7 vs 0.06):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 6-0 (19%) |
| Double chance — Tromsø or draw (1X) | 100% |
| Double chance — CFR Cluj or draw (X2) | 0% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 100% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 99% / 1% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 88% / 12% |
| Tromsø clean sheet | 94% |
| CFR Cluj clean sheet | 0% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Tromsø is the model's most likely outcome at
74%. Tromsø are backed at home, where they average 1.6 goals a game. With expected goals of 6.8, this shapes as an open game (76% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Tromsø vs CFR Cluj — FAQ
Who will win Tromsø vs CFR Cluj?
Our statistical model makes Tromsø the most likely result at 74%. Full probabilities: Tromsø 74%, draw 15%, CFR Cluj 12%.
Will both teams score in Tromsø vs CFR Cluj?
The model gives a 42% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Tromsø vs CFR Cluj?
Expected goals are 6.7 for Tromsø and 0.06 for CFR Cluj — about 6.8 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Tromsø vs CFR Cluj?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 6-0 (19%). Double chance for Tromsø or draw is 100%.