Tromsdalen vs Strømmen Prediction & Preview
NM Cupen (Norway) · Sep 08, 2026 · kickoff 16:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
NM CUPEN (NORWAY)
Tromsdalen vs Strømmen
Model pick: Strømmen (60%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.38 – 1.43
Total goals: 1.8
Over 2.5: 37%
Both teams score: 39%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Tromsdalen | Strømmen |
|---|
| League position | n/a | #13 (21 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | 1.7 / 2.3 |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 30% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.2 / 0.8 | 2.6 / 2.4 |
*Tromsdalen shown at home, Strømmen shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Tromsdalen — last 5
DWWWL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 24% of the time; 62% of home games go over 2.5.
Strømmen — last 5
LLWWW
On the road: clean sheet 14% of the time; 57% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Tromsdalen (home) | Strømmen (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | 3-1-6 in 10 (1.7 / 2.3 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 24% | 14% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 62% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 62% | 57% |
NM Cupen (Norway) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 5.52
Home wins: 15%
Draws: 0%
Away wins: 85%
Over 2.5: 89%
BTTS: 42%
Use these NM Cupen (Norway) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.38 vs 1.43):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-1 (23%) |
| Double chance — Tromsdalen or draw (1X) | 36% |
| Double chance — Strømmen or draw (X2) | 90% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 73% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 54% / 46% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 11% / 89% |
| Tromsdalen clean sheet | 24% |
| Strømmen clean sheet | 68% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Strømmen is the model's most likely outcome at
60%. Despite playing away, Strømmen edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (63% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Tromsdalen vs Strømmen — FAQ
Who will win Tromsdalen vs Strømmen?
Our statistical model makes Strømmen the most likely result at 60%. Full probabilities: Tromsdalen 12%, draw 28%, Strømmen 60%.
Will both teams score in Tromsdalen vs Strømmen?
The model gives a 39% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Tromsdalen vs Strømmen?
Expected goals are 0.38 for Tromsdalen and 1.43 for Strømmen — about 1.8 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Tromsdalen vs Strømmen?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-1 (23%). Double chance for Tromsdalen or draw is 36%.