Tromso 2 vs Harstad Prediction & Preview
3 Divisjon (Norway) · Sep 06, 2026 · kickoff 13:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
3 DIVISJON (NORWAY)
Tromso 2 vs Harstad
Model pick: Harstad (56%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.35 – 2.38
Total goals: 3.7
Over 2.5: 64%
Both teams score: 61%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Tromso 2 | Harstad |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.25 / 1.5 | 4.8 / 1.4 |
*Tromso 2 shown at home, Harstad shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Tromso 2 — last 5
LWWD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 50% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Harstad — last 5
WWWWL
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Tromso 2 (home) | Harstad (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 50% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 100% |
3 Divisjon (Norway) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 4.59
Home wins: 50%
Draws: 14%
Away wins: 36%
Over 2.5: 80%
BTTS: 70%
Use these 3 Divisjon (Norway) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.35 vs 2.38):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-2 (9%) |
| Double chance — Tromso 2 or draw (1X) | 40% |
| Double chance — Harstad or draw (X2) | 79% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 81% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 89% / 11% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 51% / 49% |
| Tromso 2 clean sheet | 9% |
| Harstad clean sheet | 26% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Harstad is the model's most likely outcome at
56%. Despite playing away, Harstad edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. With expected goals of 3.7, this shapes as an open game (64% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Tromso 2 vs Harstad — FAQ
Who will win Tromso 2 vs Harstad?
Our statistical model makes Harstad the most likely result at 56%. Full probabilities: Tromso 2 23%, draw 21%, Harstad 56%.
Will both teams score in Tromso 2 vs Harstad?
The model gives a 61% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Tromso 2 vs Harstad?
Expected goals are 1.35 for Tromso 2 and 2.38 for Harstad — about 3.7 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Tromso 2 vs Harstad?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-2 (9%). Double chance for Tromso 2 or draw is 40%.