Troyan vs Pavlikeni Prediction & Preview
V AFG (Bulgaria) · Aug 29, 2026 · kickoff 15:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
V AFG (BULGARIA)
Troyan vs Pavlikeni
Model pick: Pavlikeni (44%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.29 – 0.81
Total goals: 1.1
Over 2.5: 23%
Both teams score: 32%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Troyan | Pavlikeni |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.0 / 1.0 | 1.0 / 0.0 |
*Troyan shown at home, Pavlikeni shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Troyan — last 5
D
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 0% of home games go over 2.5.
Pavlikeni — last 5
W
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 0% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Troyan (home) | Pavlikeni (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 0% |
V AFG (Bulgaria) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.08
Home wins: 43%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 32%
Over 2.5: 56%
BTTS: 60%
Use these V AFG (Bulgaria) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.29 vs 0.81):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-0 (33%) |
| Double chance — Troyan or draw (1X) | 54% |
| Double chance — Pavlikeni or draw (X2) | 88% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 58% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 30% / 70% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 3% / 97% |
| Troyan clean sheet | 44% |
| Pavlikeni clean sheet | 75% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Pavlikeni is the model's most likely outcome at
44%. Despite playing away, Pavlikeni edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (77% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
40+ leagues
1X2 · O/U · BTTS · xG
JSON REST
Free tier available
Get API access on RapidAPI →
❓ Troyan vs Pavlikeni — FAQ
Who will win Troyan vs Pavlikeni?
Our statistical model makes Pavlikeni the most likely result at 44%. Full probabilities: Troyan 15%, draw 41%, Pavlikeni 44%.
Will both teams score in Troyan vs Pavlikeni?
The model gives a 32% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Troyan vs Pavlikeni?
Expected goals are 0.29 for Troyan and 0.81 for Pavlikeni — about 1.1 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Troyan vs Pavlikeni?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-0 (33%). Double chance for Troyan or draw is 54%.