Trujillanos vs Deportivo Táchira Prediction & Preview
Primera Division (Venezuela) · Aug 09, 2026 · kickoff 20:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
PRIMERA DIVISION (VENEZUELA)
Trujillanos vs Deportivo Táchira
Model pick: Deportivo Táchira (66%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.64 – 2.06
Total goals: 2.7
Over 2.5: 51%
Both teams score: 48%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Trujillanos | Deportivo Táchira |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.8 / 1.6 | 1.6 / 0.2 |
*Trujillanos shown at home, Deportivo Táchira shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Trujillanos — last 5
LLLWL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 26% of the time; 48% of home games go over 2.5.
Deportivo Táchira — last 5
DWWWW
On the road: clean sheet 33% of the time; 41% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Trujillanos (home) | Deportivo Táchira (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 26% | 33% |
| Both teams scored | 48% | 45% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48% | 41% |
Primera Division (Venezuela) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.46
Home wins: 44%
Draws: 30%
Away wins: 27%
Over 2.5: 45%
BTTS: 50%
Use these Primera Division (Venezuela) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.64 vs 2.06):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-2 (14%) |
| Double chance — Trujillanos or draw (1X) | 29% |
| Double chance — Deportivo Táchira or draw (X2) | 90% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 81% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 75% / 25% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 29% / 71% |
| Trujillanos clean sheet | 13% |
| Deportivo Táchira clean sheet | 53% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Deportivo Táchira is the model's most likely outcome at
66%. Despite playing away, Deportivo Táchira edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (49% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Trujillanos vs Deportivo Táchira — FAQ
Who will win Trujillanos vs Deportivo Táchira?
Our statistical model makes Deportivo Táchira the most likely result at 66%. Full probabilities: Trujillanos 13%, draw 22%, Deportivo Táchira 66%.
Will both teams score in Trujillanos vs Deportivo Táchira?
The model gives a 48% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Trujillanos vs Deportivo Táchira?
Expected goals are 0.64 for Trujillanos and 2.06 for Deportivo Táchira — about 2.7 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Trujillanos vs Deportivo Táchira?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-2 (14%). Double chance for Trujillanos or draw is 29%.