Trutnov vs Slavia HK Prediction & Preview
Liga 4 (Czech_Republic) · Sep 05, 2026 · kickoff 15:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
LIGA 4 (CZECH_REPUBLIC)
Trutnov vs Slavia HK
Model pick: Slavia HK (60%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.14 – 2.36
Total goals: 3.5
Over 2.5: 61%
Both teams score: 58%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Trutnov | Slavia HK |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.0 / 2.4 | 2.0 / 1.75 |
*Trutnov shown at home, Slavia HK shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Trutnov — last 5
LLLWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 33% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Slavia HK — last 5
LLWW
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Trutnov (home) | Slavia HK (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 33% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 67% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 100% |
Liga 4 (Czech_Republic) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.72
Home wins: 43%
Draws: 20%
Away wins: 37%
Over 2.5: 75%
BTTS: 67%
Use these Liga 4 (Czech_Republic) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.14 vs 2.36):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-2 (10%) |
| Double chance — Trutnov or draw (1X) | 36% |
| Double chance — Slavia HK or draw (X2) | 83% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 81% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 86% / 14% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 46% / 54% |
| Trutnov clean sheet | 9% |
| Slavia HK clean sheet | 32% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Slavia HK is the model's most likely outcome at
60%. Despite playing away, Slavia HK edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. With expected goals of 3.5, this shapes as an open game (61% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Trutnov vs Slavia HK — FAQ
Who will win Trutnov vs Slavia HK?
Our statistical model makes Slavia HK the most likely result at 60%. Full probabilities: Trutnov 19%, draw 21%, Slavia HK 60%.
Will both teams score in Trutnov vs Slavia HK?
The model gives a 58% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Trutnov vs Slavia HK?
Expected goals are 1.14 for Trutnov and 2.36 for Slavia HK — about 3.5 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Trutnov vs Slavia HK?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-2 (10%). Double chance for Trutnov or draw is 36%.