TSV 1880 Wasserburg vs Erlbach Prediction & Preview
Oberliga (Germany) · Aug 07, 2026 · kickoff 17:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
OBERLIGA (GERMANY)
TSV 1880 Wasserburg vs Erlbach
Model pick: Erlbach (100%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.16 – 7.37
Total goals: 7.5
Over 2.5: 74%
Both teams score: 31%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| TSV 1880 Wasserburg | Erlbach |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.0 / 4.0 | 1.33 / 0.33 |
*TSV 1880 Wasserburg shown at home, Erlbach shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
TSV 1880 Wasserburg — last 5
LL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Erlbach — last 5
WLW
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 0% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | TSV 1880 Wasserburg (home) | Erlbach (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 0% |
Oberliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.03
Home wins: 39%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 36%
Over 2.5: 56%
BTTS: 55%
Use these Oberliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.16 vs 7.37):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-7 (19%) |
| Double chance — TSV 1880 Wasserburg or draw (1X) | 0% |
| Double chance — Erlbach or draw (X2) | 100% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 100% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 99% / 1% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 91% / 9% |
| TSV 1880 Wasserburg clean sheet | 0% |
| Erlbach clean sheet | 85% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Erlbach is the model's most likely outcome at
100%. Despite playing away, Erlbach edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. With expected goals of 7.5, this shapes as an open game (74% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ TSV 1880 Wasserburg vs Erlbach — FAQ
Who will win TSV 1880 Wasserburg vs Erlbach?
Our statistical model makes Erlbach the most likely result at 100%. Full probabilities: TSV 1880 Wasserburg 0%, draw 0%, Erlbach 100%.
Will both teams score in TSV 1880 Wasserburg vs Erlbach?
The model gives a 31% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in TSV 1880 Wasserburg vs Erlbach?
Expected goals are 0.16 for TSV 1880 Wasserburg and 7.37 for Erlbach — about 7.5 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in TSV 1880 Wasserburg vs Erlbach?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-7 (19%). Double chance for TSV 1880 Wasserburg or draw is 0%.