TSV 1880 Wasserburg vs Rosenheim Prediction & Preview
Oberliga (Germany) · Aug 18, 2026 · kickoff 17:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
OBERLIGA (GERMANY)
TSV 1880 Wasserburg vs Rosenheim
Model pick: Rosenheim (50%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.99 – 2.63
Total goals: 4.6
Over 2.5: 72%
Both teams score: 68%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| TSV 1880 Wasserburg | Rosenheim |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.5 / 3.25 | 1.25 / 1.75 |
*TSV 1880 Wasserburg shown at home, Rosenheim shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
TSV 1880 Wasserburg — last 5
LLLD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Rosenheim — last 5
DLDD
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 0% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | TSV 1880 Wasserburg (home) | Rosenheim (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 0% |
Oberliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.16
Home wins: 40%
Draws: 28%
Away wins: 33%
Over 2.5: 59%
BTTS: 58%
Use these Oberliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.99 vs 2.63):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-2 (7%) |
| Double chance — TSV 1880 Wasserburg or draw (1X) | 48% |
| Double chance — Rosenheim or draw (X2) | 71% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 82% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 94% / 6% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 68% / 32% |
| TSV 1880 Wasserburg clean sheet | 7% |
| Rosenheim clean sheet | 14% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Rosenheim is the model's most likely outcome at
50%. Despite playing away, Rosenheim edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. With expected goals of 4.6, this shapes as an open game (72% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ TSV 1880 Wasserburg vs Rosenheim — FAQ
Who will win TSV 1880 Wasserburg vs Rosenheim?
Our statistical model makes Rosenheim the most likely result at 50%. Full probabilities: TSV 1880 Wasserburg 30%, draw 20%, Rosenheim 50%.
Will both teams score in TSV 1880 Wasserburg vs Rosenheim?
The model gives a 68% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in TSV 1880 Wasserburg vs Rosenheim?
Expected goals are 1.99 for TSV 1880 Wasserburg and 2.63 for Rosenheim — about 4.6 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in TSV 1880 Wasserburg vs Rosenheim?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-2 (7%). Double chance for TSV 1880 Wasserburg or draw is 48%.