TSV 1881 Gau-Odernheim vs Worms Prediction & Preview
Oberliga (Germany) · Sep 09, 2026 · kickoff 17:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
OBERLIGA (GERMANY)
TSV 1881 Gau-Odernheim vs Worms
Model pick: TSV 1881 Gau-Odernheim (61%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
61%
TSV 1881 Gau-Odernheim
Expected goals: 3.27 – 1.82
Total goals: 5.1
Over 2.5: 76%
Both teams score: 68%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| TSV 1881 Gau-Odernheim | Worms |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.8 / 1.2 | 2.2 / 2.0 |
*TSV 1881 Gau-Odernheim shown at home, Worms shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
TSV 1881 Gau-Odernheim — last 5
LWLWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 50% of home games go over 2.5.
Worms — last 5
WWLLL
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 80% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | TSV 1881 Gau-Odernheim (home) | Worms (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 80% |
Oberliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.59
Home wins: 41%
Draws: 23%
Away wins: 36%
Over 2.5: 67%
BTTS: 63%
Use these Oberliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (3.27 vs 1.82):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 3-1 (7%) |
| Double chance — TSV 1881 Gau-Odernheim or draw (1X) | 81% |
| Double chance — Worms or draw (X2) | 34% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 85% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 96% / 4% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 75% / 25% |
| TSV 1881 Gau-Odernheim clean sheet | 16% |
| Worms clean sheet | 4% |
🎯 Our Verdict
TSV 1881 Gau-Odernheim is the model's most likely outcome at
61%. TSV 1881 Gau-Odernheim are backed at home, where they average 1.8 goals a game. With expected goals of 5.1, this shapes as an open game (76% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ TSV 1881 Gau-Odernheim vs Worms — FAQ
Who will win TSV 1881 Gau-Odernheim vs Worms?
Our statistical model makes TSV 1881 Gau-Odernheim the most likely result at 61%. Full probabilities: TSV 1881 Gau-Odernheim 61%, draw 18%, Worms 21%.
Will both teams score in TSV 1881 Gau-Odernheim vs Worms?
The model gives a 68% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in TSV 1881 Gau-Odernheim vs Worms?
Expected goals are 3.27 for TSV 1881 Gau-Odernheim and 1.82 for Worms — about 5.1 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in TSV 1881 Gau-Odernheim vs Worms?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 3-1 (7%). Double chance for TSV 1881 Gau-Odernheim or draw is 81%.