TSV Buchholz 08 vs Teutonia Ottensen Prediction & Preview
Oberliga (Germany) · Aug 16, 2026 · kickoff 12:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
OBERLIGA (GERMANY)
TSV Buchholz 08 vs Teutonia Ottensen
Model pick: Teutonia Ottensen (38%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.12 – 1.23
Total goals: 2.4
Over 2.5: 46%
Both teams score: 51%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| TSV Buchholz 08 | Teutonia Ottensen |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.0 / 2.0 | 1.5 / 1.0 |
*TSV Buchholz 08 shown at home, Teutonia Ottensen shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
TSV Buchholz 08 — last 5
WL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Teutonia Ottensen — last 5
WL
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | TSV Buchholz 08 (home) | Teutonia Ottensen (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 100% |
Oberliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.43
Home wins: 43%
Draws: 21%
Away wins: 36%
Over 2.5: 64%
BTTS: 62%
Use these Oberliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.12 vs 1.23):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (13%) |
| Double chance — TSV Buchholz 08 or draw (1X) | 61% |
| Double chance — Teutonia Ottensen or draw (X2) | 67% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 72% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 68% / 32% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 21% / 79% |
| TSV Buchholz 08 clean sheet | 29% |
| Teutonia Ottensen clean sheet | 33% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Teutonia Ottensen is the model's most likely outcome at
38%. Despite playing away, Teutonia Ottensen edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (54% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ TSV Buchholz 08 vs Teutonia Ottensen — FAQ
Who will win TSV Buchholz 08 vs Teutonia Ottensen?
Our statistical model makes Teutonia Ottensen the most likely result at 38%. Full probabilities: TSV Buchholz 08 33%, draw 29%, Teutonia Ottensen 38%.
Will both teams score in TSV Buchholz 08 vs Teutonia Ottensen?
The model gives a 51% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in TSV Buchholz 08 vs Teutonia Ottensen?
Expected goals are 1.12 for TSV Buchholz 08 and 1.23 for Teutonia Ottensen — about 2.4 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in TSV Buchholz 08 vs Teutonia Ottensen?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (13%). Double chance for TSV Buchholz 08 or draw is 61%.