TSV St. Johann vs Dietach Prediction & Preview
Regionalliga (Austria) · Aug 28, 2026 · kickoff 17:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
REGIONALLIGA (AUSTRIA)
TSV St. Johann vs Dietach
Model pick: Dietach (40%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.35 – 1.49
Total goals: 2.8
Over 2.5: 53%
Both teams score: 56%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| TSV St. Johann | Dietach |
|---|
| League position | n/a | #11 (32 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | 1.3 / 2.3 |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 27% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.8 / 2.0 | 1.8 / 3.6 |
*TSV St. Johann shown at home, Dietach shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
TSV St. Johann — last 5
LWLWL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 33% of the time; 33% of home games go over 2.5.
Dietach — last 5
DWDLL
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | TSV St. Johann (home) | Dietach (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | 4-2-9 in 15 (1.3 / 2.3 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 33% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 33% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 33% | 100% |
Regionalliga (Austria) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.32
Home wins: 44%
Draws: 26%
Away wins: 29%
Over 2.5: 61%
BTTS: 55%
Use these Regionalliga (Austria) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.35 vs 1.49):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (12%) |
| Double chance — TSV St. Johann or draw (1X) | 59% |
| Double chance — Dietach or draw (X2) | 66% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 75% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 78% / 22% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 32% / 68% |
| TSV St. Johann clean sheet | 23% |
| Dietach clean sheet | 26% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Dietach is the model's most likely outcome at
40%. Despite playing away, Dietach edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (47% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ TSV St. Johann vs Dietach — FAQ
Who will win TSV St. Johann vs Dietach?
Our statistical model makes Dietach the most likely result at 40%. Full probabilities: TSV St. Johann 34%, draw 26%, Dietach 40%.
Will both teams score in TSV St. Johann vs Dietach?
The model gives a 56% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in TSV St. Johann vs Dietach?
Expected goals are 1.35 for TSV St. Johann and 1.49 for Dietach — about 2.8 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in TSV St. Johann vs Dietach?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (12%). Double chance for TSV St. Johann or draw is 59%.