TSV St. Johann vs Saalfelden Prediction & Preview
Regionalliga (Austria) · Aug 14, 2026 · kickoff 17:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
REGIONALLIGA (AUSTRIA)
TSV St. Johann vs Saalfelden
Model pick: Draw (42%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.44 – 0.66
Total goals: 1.1
Over 2.5: 23%
Both teams score: 34%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| TSV St. Johann | Saalfelden |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.67 / 1.0 | 1.25 / 2.0 |
*TSV St. Johann shown at home, Saalfelden shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
TSV St. Johann — last 5
LWD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 100% of the time; 0% of home games go over 2.5.
Saalfelden — last 5
DLLD
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 50% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | TSV St. Johann (home) | Saalfelden (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 100% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 50% |
Regionalliga (Austria) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.62
Home wins: 38%
Draws: 31%
Away wins: 31%
Over 2.5: 46%
BTTS: 49%
Use these Regionalliga (Austria) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.44 vs 0.66):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-0 (33%) |
| Double chance — TSV St. Johann or draw (1X) | 65% |
| Double chance — Saalfelden or draw (X2) | 79% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 56% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 30% / 70% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 3% / 97% |
| TSV St. Johann clean sheet | 52% |
| Saalfelden clean sheet | 64% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Draw is the model's most likely outcome at
42%. The model sees no clear favourite — a draw is live. Goals may be harder to come by (77% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ TSV St. Johann vs Saalfelden — FAQ
Who will win TSV St. Johann vs Saalfelden?
Our statistical model makes Draw the most likely result at 42%. Full probabilities: TSV St. Johann 23%, draw 42%, Saalfelden 35%.
Will both teams score in TSV St. Johann vs Saalfelden?
The model gives a 34% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in TSV St. Johann vs Saalfelden?
Expected goals are 0.44 for TSV St. Johann and 0.66 for Saalfelden — about 1.1 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in TSV St. Johann vs Saalfelden?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-0 (33%). Double chance for TSV St. Johann or draw is 65%.