TSV St. Johann vs Seekirchen Prediction & Preview
Regionalliga (Austria) · Sep 04, 2026 · kickoff 17:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
REGIONALLIGA (AUSTRIA)
TSV St. Johann vs Seekirchen
Model pick: TSV St. Johann (52%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.41 – 0.66
Total goals: 2.1
Over 2.5: 42%
Both teams score: 46%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| TSV St. Johann | Seekirchen |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.0 / 1.6 | 1.4 / 2.4 |
*TSV St. Johann shown at home, Seekirchen shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
TSV St. Johann — last 5
WLWLD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 25% of the time; 25% of home games go over 2.5.
Seekirchen — last 5
LLWDW
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 67% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | TSV St. Johann (home) | Seekirchen (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 25% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 25% | 67% |
Regionalliga (Austria) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.22
Home wins: 43%
Draws: 26%
Away wins: 31%
Over 2.5: 60%
BTTS: 56%
Use these Regionalliga (Austria) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.41 vs 0.66):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (18%) |
| Double chance — TSV St. Johann or draw (1X) | 83% |
| Double chance — Seekirchen or draw (X2) | 45% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 73% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 61% / 39% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 16% / 84% |
| TSV St. Johann clean sheet | 52% |
| Seekirchen clean sheet | 24% |
🎯 Our Verdict
TSV St. Johann is the model's most likely outcome at
52%. TSV St. Johann are backed at home, where they average 1.2 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (58% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ TSV St. Johann vs Seekirchen — FAQ
Who will win TSV St. Johann vs Seekirchen?
Our statistical model makes TSV St. Johann the most likely result at 52%. Full probabilities: TSV St. Johann 52%, draw 29%, Seekirchen 20%.
Will both teams score in TSV St. Johann vs Seekirchen?
The model gives a 46% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in TSV St. Johann vs Seekirchen?
Expected goals are 1.41 for TSV St. Johann and 0.66 for Seekirchen — about 2.1 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in TSV St. Johann vs Seekirchen?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (18%). Double chance for TSV St. Johann or draw is 83%.