Turriff Utd vs Buckie Thistle Prediction & Preview
Lowland League (Scotland) · Aug 15, 2026 · kickoff 14:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
LOWLAND LEAGUE (SCOTLAND)
Turriff Utd vs Buckie Thistle
Model pick: Draw (53%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.54 – 0.11
Total goals: 0.7
Over 2.5: 12%
Both teams score: 20%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Turriff Utd | Buckie Thistle |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.8 / 0.4 | 3.25 / 1.0 |
*Turriff Utd shown at home, Buckie Thistle shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Turriff Utd — last 5
LDDWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 50% of the time; 0% of home games go over 2.5.
Buckie Thistle — last 5
WWWD
On the road: clean sheet 100% of the time; 0% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Turriff Utd (home) | Buckie Thistle (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 50% | 100% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 0% |
Lowland League (Scotland) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.45
Home wins: 46%
Draws: 19%
Away wins: 35%
Over 2.5: 58%
BTTS: 53%
Use these Lowland League (Scotland) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.54 vs 0.11):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-0 (52%) |
| Double chance — Turriff Utd or draw (1X) | 94% |
| Double chance — Buckie Thistle or draw (X2) | 62% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 45% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 14% / 86% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 0% / 100% |
| Turriff Utd clean sheet | 90% |
| Buckie Thistle clean sheet | 58% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Draw is the model's most likely outcome at
53%. The model sees no clear favourite — a draw is live. Goals may be harder to come by (88% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Turriff Utd vs Buckie Thistle — FAQ
Who will win Turriff Utd vs Buckie Thistle?
Our statistical model makes Draw the most likely result at 53%. Full probabilities: Turriff Utd 39%, draw 53%, Buckie Thistle 8%.
Will both teams score in Turriff Utd vs Buckie Thistle?
The model gives a 20% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Turriff Utd vs Buckie Thistle?
Expected goals are 0.54 for Turriff Utd and 0.11 for Buckie Thistle — about 0.7 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Turriff Utd vs Buckie Thistle?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-0 (52%). Double chance for Turriff Utd or draw is 94%.