TuS Hordel vs Arminia Bielefeld II Prediction & Preview
Oberliga (Germany) · Sep 06, 2026 · kickoff 13:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
OBERLIGA (GERMANY)
TuS Hordel vs Arminia Bielefeld II
Model pick: TuS Hordel (82%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 4.11 – 1.12
Total goals: 5.2
Over 2.5: 77%
Both teams score: 60%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| TuS Hordel | Arminia Bielefeld II |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.25 / 2.0 | 2.33 / 1.67 |
*TuS Hordel shown at home, Arminia Bielefeld II shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
TuS Hordel — last 5
LDLW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 50% of home games go over 2.5.
Arminia Bielefeld II — last 5
DLW
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | TuS Hordel (home) | Arminia Bielefeld II (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 100% |
Oberliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.61
Home wins: 40%
Draws: 22%
Away wins: 38%
Over 2.5: 68%
BTTS: 63%
Use these Oberliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (4.11 vs 1.12):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 4-1 (7%) |
| Double chance — TuS Hordel or draw (1X) | 95% |
| Double chance — Arminia Bielefeld II or draw (X2) | 13% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 92% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 97% / 3% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 76% / 24% |
| TuS Hordel clean sheet | 33% |
| Arminia Bielefeld II clean sheet | 2% |
🎯 Our Verdict
TuS Hordel is the model's most likely outcome at
82%. TuS Hordel are backed at home, where they average 2.5 goals a game. With expected goals of 5.2, this shapes as an open game (77% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ TuS Hordel vs Arminia Bielefeld II — FAQ
Who will win TuS Hordel vs Arminia Bielefeld II?
Our statistical model makes TuS Hordel the most likely result at 82%. Full probabilities: TuS Hordel 82%, draw 11%, Arminia Bielefeld II 8%.
Will both teams score in TuS Hordel vs Arminia Bielefeld II?
The model gives a 60% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in TuS Hordel vs Arminia Bielefeld II?
Expected goals are 4.11 for TuS Hordel and 1.12 for Arminia Bielefeld II — about 5.2 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in TuS Hordel vs Arminia Bielefeld II?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 4-1 (7%). Double chance for TuS Hordel or draw is 95%.