TuS Koblenz vs Ahrweiler Prediction & Preview
Oberliga (Germany) · Sep 05, 2026 · kickoff 12:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
OBERLIGA (GERMANY)
TuS Koblenz vs Ahrweiler
Model pick: TuS Koblenz (85%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 4.22 – 0.97
Total goals: 5.2
Over 2.5: 76%
Both teams score: 57%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| TuS Koblenz | Ahrweiler |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.4 / 2.2 | 0.6 / 2.2 |
*TuS Koblenz shown at home, Ahrweiler shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
TuS Koblenz — last 5
LWWWL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 33% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Ahrweiler — last 5
LLLLL
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 50% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | TuS Koblenz (home) | Ahrweiler (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 33% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 67% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 50% |
Oberliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.61
Home wins: 40%
Draws: 22%
Away wins: 38%
Over 2.5: 68%
BTTS: 63%
Use these Oberliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (4.22 vs 0.97):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 4-0 (8%) |
| Double chance — TuS Koblenz or draw (1X) | 96% |
| Double chance — Ahrweiler or draw (X2) | 11% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 93% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 96% / 4% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 75% / 25% |
| TuS Koblenz clean sheet | 38% |
| Ahrweiler clean sheet | 2% |
🎯 Our Verdict
TuS Koblenz is the model's most likely outcome at
85%. TuS Koblenz are backed at home, where they average 3.3 goals a game. With expected goals of 5.2, this shapes as an open game (76% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ TuS Koblenz vs Ahrweiler — FAQ
Who will win TuS Koblenz vs Ahrweiler?
Our statistical model makes TuS Koblenz the most likely result at 85%. Full probabilities: TuS Koblenz 85%, draw 9%, Ahrweiler 6%.
Will both teams score in TuS Koblenz vs Ahrweiler?
The model gives a 57% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in TuS Koblenz vs Ahrweiler?
Expected goals are 4.22 for TuS Koblenz and 0.97 for Ahrweiler — about 5.2 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in TuS Koblenz vs Ahrweiler?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 4-0 (8%). Double chance for TuS Koblenz or draw is 96%.