TuS Koblenz vs Auersmacher Prediction & Preview
Oberliga (Germany) · Aug 07, 2026 · kickoff 17:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
OBERLIGA (GERMANY)
TuS Koblenz vs Auersmacher
Model pick: Auersmacher (43%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.86 – 2.14
Total goals: 4.0
Over 2.5: 66%
Both teams score: 64%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| TuS Koblenz | Auersmacher |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.0 / 2.4 | 1.0 / 2.0 |
*TuS Koblenz shown at home, Auersmacher shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
TuS Koblenz — last 5
LWWWL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Auersmacher — last 5
L
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 0% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | TuS Koblenz (home) | Auersmacher (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 0% |
Oberliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.32
Home wins: 38%
Draws: 23%
Away wins: 39%
Over 2.5: 63%
BTTS: 59%
Use these Oberliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.86 vs 2.14):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-2 (8%) |
| Double chance — TuS Koblenz or draw (1X) | 55% |
| Double chance — Auersmacher or draw (X2) | 66% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 79% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 91% / 9% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 57% / 43% |
| TuS Koblenz clean sheet | 12% |
| Auersmacher clean sheet | 16% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Auersmacher is the model's most likely outcome at
43%. Despite playing away, Auersmacher edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. With expected goals of 4.0, this shapes as an open game (66% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ TuS Koblenz vs Auersmacher — FAQ
Who will win TuS Koblenz vs Auersmacher?
Our statistical model makes Auersmacher the most likely result at 43%. Full probabilities: TuS Koblenz 34%, draw 22%, Auersmacher 43%.
Will both teams score in TuS Koblenz vs Auersmacher?
The model gives a 64% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in TuS Koblenz vs Auersmacher?
Expected goals are 1.86 for TuS Koblenz and 2.14 for Auersmacher — about 4.0 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in TuS Koblenz vs Auersmacher?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-2 (8%). Double chance for TuS Koblenz or draw is 55%.