Tver vs Kosmos Prediction & Preview
FNL 2 Division B (Russia) · Aug 16, 2026 · kickoff 14:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
FNL 2 DIVISION B (RUSSIA)
Tver vs Kosmos
Model pick: Tver (59%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 3.39 – 2.09
Total goals: 5.5
Over 2.5: 79%
Both teams score: 71%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Tver | Kosmos |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 3.67 / 1.67 | 1.6 / 1.6 |
*Tver shown at home, Kosmos shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Tver — last 5
WWL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 100% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Kosmos — last 5
WWLLW
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Tver (home) | Kosmos (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 100% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 100% |
FNL 2 Division B (Russia) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.13
Home wins: 44%
Draws: 24%
Away wins: 33%
Over 2.5: 63%
BTTS: 60%
Use these FNL 2 Division B (Russia) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (3.39 vs 2.09):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 3-2 (6%) |
| Double chance — Tver or draw (1X) | 78% |
| Double chance — Kosmos or draw (X2) | 37% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 85% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 97% / 3% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 79% / 21% |
| Tver clean sheet | 12% |
| Kosmos clean sheet | 3% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Tver is the model's most likely outcome at
59%. Tver are backed at home, where they average 5.0 goals a game. With expected goals of 5.5, this shapes as an open game (79% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Tver vs Kosmos — FAQ
Who will win Tver vs Kosmos?
Our statistical model makes Tver the most likely result at 59%. Full probabilities: Tver 59%, draw 18%, Kosmos 24%.
Will both teams score in Tver vs Kosmos?
The model gives a 71% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Tver vs Kosmos?
Expected goals are 3.39 for Tver and 2.09 for Kosmos — about 5.5 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Tver vs Kosmos?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 3-2 (6%). Double chance for Tver or draw is 78%.