Tychy vs Śląsk Wrocław II Prediction & Preview
II Liga (Poland) · Aug 23, 2026 · kickoff 17:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
II LIGA (POLAND)
Tychy vs Śląsk Wrocław II
Model pick: Tychy (55%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.97 – 1.04
Total goals: 3.0
Over 2.5: 55%
Both teams score: 55%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Tychy | Śląsk Wrocław II |
|---|
| League position | #4 (8 pts) | #8 (6 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.0 / 1.0 | 3.0 / 2.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 50% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.4 / 0.8 | 2.4 / 1.6 |
*Tychy shown at home, Śląsk Wrocław II shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Tychy — last 5
WWWDD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 17% of the time; 50% of home games go over 2.5.
Śląsk Wrocław II — last 5
LWWWL
On the road: clean sheet 19% of the time; 65% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Tychy (home) | Śląsk Wrocław II (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 0-1-0 in 1 (1.0 / 1.0 goals per game) | 1-0-1 in 2 (3.0 / 2.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 17% | 19% |
| Both teams scored | 83% | 61% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 65% |
II Liga (Poland) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.75
Home wins: 44%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 32%
Over 2.5: 54%
BTTS: 54%
Use these II Liga (Poland) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.97 vs 1.04):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (10%) |
| Double chance — Tychy or draw (1X) | 81% |
| Double chance — Śląsk Wrocław II or draw (X2) | 41% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 78% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 80% / 20% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 35% / 65% |
| Tychy clean sheet | 35% |
| Śląsk Wrocław II clean sheet | 14% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Tychy is the model's most likely outcome at
55%. Tychy are backed at home, where they average 1.5 goals a game. With expected goals of 3.0, this shapes as an open game (55% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Tychy vs Śląsk Wrocław II — FAQ
Who will win Tychy vs Śląsk Wrocław II?
Our statistical model makes Tychy the most likely result at 55%. Full probabilities: Tychy 55%, draw 23%, Śląsk Wrocław II 22%.
Will both teams score in Tychy vs Śląsk Wrocław II?
The model gives a 55% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Tychy vs Śląsk Wrocław II?
Expected goals are 1.97 for Tychy and 1.04 for Śląsk Wrocław II — about 3.0 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Tychy vs Śląsk Wrocław II?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (10%). Double chance for Tychy or draw is 81%.