Tychy vs Olimpia Grudziądz Prediction & Preview
II Liga (Poland) · Aug 09, 2026 · kickoff 17:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
II LIGA (POLAND)
Tychy vs Olimpia Grudziądz
Model pick: Tychy (69%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 2.0 – 0.45
Total goals: 2.5
Over 2.5: 47%
Both teams score: 43%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Tychy | Olimpia Grudziądz |
|---|
| League position | #3 (6 pts) | #13 (1 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | 1.5 / 3.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.6 / 1.0 | 2.6 / 1.8 |
*Tychy shown at home, Olimpia Grudziądz shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Tychy — last 5
WDDWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 75% of home games go over 2.5.
Olimpia Grudziądz — last 5
WWWLD
On the road: clean sheet 19% of the time; 62% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Tychy (home) | Olimpia Grudziądz (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | 0-1-1 in 2 (1.5 / 3.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 19% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 66% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 75% | 62% |
II Liga (Poland) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.75
Home wins: 43%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 32%
Over 2.5: 54%
BTTS: 54%
Use these II Liga (Poland) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (2.0 vs 0.45):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (17%) |
| Double chance — Tychy or draw (1X) | 93% |
| Double chance — Olimpia Grudziądz or draw (X2) | 26% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 82% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 70% / 30% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 23% / 77% |
| Tychy clean sheet | 64% |
| Olimpia Grudziądz clean sheet | 14% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Tychy is the model's most likely outcome at
69%. Tychy are backed at home, where they average 1.8 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (53% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Tychy vs Olimpia Grudziądz — FAQ
Who will win Tychy vs Olimpia Grudziądz?
Our statistical model makes Tychy the most likely result at 69%. Full probabilities: Tychy 69%, draw 21%, Olimpia Grudziądz 10%.
Will both teams score in Tychy vs Olimpia Grudziądz?
The model gives a 43% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Tychy vs Olimpia Grudziądz?
Expected goals are 2.0 for Tychy and 0.45 for Olimpia Grudziądz — about 2.5 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Tychy vs Olimpia Grudziądz?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (17%). Double chance for Tychy or draw is 93%.