Uerdingen vs Dusseldorf II Prediction & Preview
Oberliga (Germany) · Aug 23, 2026 · kickoff 16:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
OBERLIGA (GERMANY)
Uerdingen vs Dusseldorf II
Model pick: Dusseldorf II (59%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.61 – 1.67
Total goals: 2.3
Over 2.5: 45%
Both teams score: 46%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Uerdingen | Dusseldorf II |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.4 / 1.6 | 3.0 / 2.0 |
*Uerdingen shown at home, Dusseldorf II shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Uerdingen — last 5
DLWWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 18% of the time; 48% of home games go over 2.5.
Dusseldorf II — last 5
WDLW
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Uerdingen (home) | Dusseldorf II (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 18% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 52% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48% | 100% |
Oberliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.47
Home wins: 43%
Draws: 24%
Away wins: 33%
Over 2.5: 64%
BTTS: 64%
Use these Oberliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.61 vs 1.67):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-1 (17%) |
| Double chance — Uerdingen or draw (1X) | 37% |
| Double chance — Dusseldorf II or draw (X2) | 87% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 76% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 66% / 34% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 20% / 80% |
| Uerdingen clean sheet | 19% |
| Dusseldorf II clean sheet | 54% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Dusseldorf II is the model's most likely outcome at
59%. Despite playing away, Dusseldorf II edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (55% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Uerdingen vs Dusseldorf II — FAQ
Who will win Uerdingen vs Dusseldorf II?
Our statistical model makes Dusseldorf II the most likely result at 59%. Full probabilities: Uerdingen 16%, draw 26%, Dusseldorf II 59%.
Will both teams score in Uerdingen vs Dusseldorf II?
The model gives a 46% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Uerdingen vs Dusseldorf II?
Expected goals are 0.61 for Uerdingen and 1.67 for Dusseldorf II — about 2.3 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Uerdingen vs Dusseldorf II?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-1 (17%). Double chance for Uerdingen or draw is 37%.