Ujezd Prague vs Ostrov Prediction & Preview
Liga 4 (Czech_Republic) · Aug 29, 2026 · kickoff 08:15 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
LIGA 4 (CZECH_REPUBLIC)
Ujezd Prague vs Ostrov
Model pick: Ujezd Prague (100%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 8.38 – 0.36
Total goals: 8.7
Over 2.5: 67%
Both teams score: 38%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Ujezd Prague | Ostrov |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.33 / 2.0 | 1.67 / 4.33 |
*Ujezd Prague shown at home, Ostrov shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Ujezd Prague — last 5
DWL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 100% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Ostrov — last 5
LLL
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Ujezd Prague (home) | Ostrov (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 100% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 100% |
Liga 4 (Czech_Republic) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.39
Home wins: 42%
Draws: 27%
Away wins: 31%
Over 2.5: 66%
BTTS: 62%
Use these Liga 4 (Czech_Republic) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (8.38 vs 0.36):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 8-0 (18%) |
| Double chance — Ujezd Prague or draw (1X) | 100% |
| Double chance — Ostrov or draw (X2) | 0% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 100% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 100% / 0% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 95% / 5% |
| Ujezd Prague clean sheet | 70% |
| Ostrov clean sheet | 0% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Ujezd Prague is the model's most likely outcome at
100%. Ujezd Prague are backed at home, where they average 4.0 goals a game. With expected goals of 8.7, this shapes as an open game (67% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Ujezd Prague vs Ostrov — FAQ
Who will win Ujezd Prague vs Ostrov?
Our statistical model makes Ujezd Prague the most likely result at 100%. Full probabilities: Ujezd Prague 100%, draw 0%, Ostrov 0%.
Will both teams score in Ujezd Prague vs Ostrov?
The model gives a 38% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Ujezd Prague vs Ostrov?
Expected goals are 8.38 for Ujezd Prague and 0.36 for Ostrov — about 8.7 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Ujezd Prague vs Ostrov?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 8-0 (18%). Double chance for Ujezd Prague or draw is 100%.