Ujpest II vs Szeged II Prediction & Preview
Nb III (Hungary) · Aug 26, 2026 · kickoff 09:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
NB III (HUNGARY)
Ujpest II vs Szeged II
Model pick: Szeged II (57%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 2.44 – 3.63
Total goals: 6.1
Over 2.5: 83%
Both teams score: 74%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Ujpest II | Szeged II |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.8 / 1.2 | 3.5 / 1.0 |
*Ujpest II shown at home, Szeged II shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Ujpest II — last 5
WWDLW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 67% of the time; 67% of home games go over 2.5.
Szeged II — last 5
WWWW
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Ujpest II (home) | Szeged II (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 67% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 33% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% | 100% |
Nb III (Hungary) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.3
Home wins: 50%
Draws: 17%
Away wins: 33%
Over 2.5: 65%
BTTS: 52%
Use these Nb III (Hungary) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (2.44 vs 3.63):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 2-3 (6%) |
| Double chance — Ujpest II or draw (1X) | 40% |
| Double chance — Szeged II or draw (X2) | 75% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 85% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 98% / 2% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 85% / 15% |
| Ujpest II clean sheet | 3% |
| Szeged II clean sheet | 9% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Szeged II is the model's most likely outcome at
57%. Despite playing away, Szeged II edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. With expected goals of 6.1, this shapes as an open game (83% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Ujpest II vs Szeged II — FAQ
Who will win Ujpest II vs Szeged II?
Our statistical model makes Szeged II the most likely result at 57%. Full probabilities: Ujpest II 26%, draw 17%, Szeged II 57%.
Will both teams score in Ujpest II vs Szeged II?
The model gives a 74% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Ujpest II vs Szeged II?
Expected goals are 2.44 for Ujpest II and 3.63 for Szeged II — about 6.1 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Ujpest II vs Szeged II?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 2-3 (6%). Double chance for Ujpest II or draw is 40%.