Ujpest II vs Szegedi Prediction & Preview
Nb III (Hungary) · Sep 06, 2026 · kickoff 09:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
NB III (HUNGARY)
Ujpest II vs Szegedi
Model pick: Ujpest II (84%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 4.68 – 1.32
Total goals: 6.0
Over 2.5: 81%
Both teams score: 63%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Ujpest II | Szegedi |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 3.0 / 1.6 | 2.4 / 3.2 |
*Ujpest II shown at home, Szegedi shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Ujpest II — last 5
WDLWD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 50% of the time; 75% of home games go over 2.5.
Szegedi — last 5
LLWLD
On the road: clean sheet 33% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Ujpest II (home) | Szegedi (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 50% | 33% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 75% | 100% |
Nb III (Hungary) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.51
Home wins: 51%
Draws: 18%
Away wins: 32%
Over 2.5: 68%
BTTS: 55%
Use these Nb III (Hungary) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (4.68 vs 1.32):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 4-1 (7%) |
| Double chance — Ujpest II or draw (1X) | 95% |
| Double chance — Szegedi or draw (X2) | 12% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 93% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 98% / 2% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 84% / 16% |
| Ujpest II clean sheet | 27% |
| Szegedi clean sheet | 1% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Ujpest II is the model's most likely outcome at
84%. Ujpest II are backed at home, where they average 2.8 goals a game. With expected goals of 6.0, this shapes as an open game (81% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Ujpest II vs Szegedi — FAQ
Who will win Ujpest II vs Szegedi?
Our statistical model makes Ujpest II the most likely result at 84%. Full probabilities: Ujpest II 84%, draw 9%, Szegedi 7%.
Will both teams score in Ujpest II vs Szegedi?
The model gives a 63% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Ujpest II vs Szegedi?
Expected goals are 4.68 for Ujpest II and 1.32 for Szegedi — about 6.0 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Ujpest II vs Szegedi?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 4-1 (7%). Double chance for Ujpest II or draw is 95%.