Čukarički vs Radnički Kragujevac Prediction & Preview
Super Liga (Serbia) · Aug 01, 2026 · kickoff 18:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
SUPER LIGA (SERBIA)
Čukarički vs Radnički Kragujevac
Model pick: Čukarički (45%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.51 – 1.06
Total goals: 2.6
Over 2.5: 49%
Both teams score: 53%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Čukarički | Radnički Kragujevac |
|---|
| League position | #11 (0 pts) | #12 (0 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 0.0 / 1.0 | 0.0 / 1.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.4 / 1.0 | 1.4 / 1.2 |
*Čukarički shown at home, Radnički Kragujevac shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Čukarički — last 5
DWDLW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 40% of the time; 52% of home games go over 2.5.
Radnički Kragujevac — last 5
DLWWL
On the road: clean sheet 26% of the time; 49% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Čukarički (home) | Radnički Kragujevac (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 0-0-1 in 1 (0.0 / 1.0 goals per game) | 0-0-1 in 1 (0.0 / 1.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 40% | 26% |
| Both teams scored | 53% | 52% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52% | 49% |
| Top scorer | Marko Docic (2) | Ester Sokler (10) |
Super Liga (Serbia) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.62
Home wins: 47%
Draws: 22%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 50%
BTTS: 48%
Use these Super Liga (Serbia) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.51 vs 1.06):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (12%) |
| Double chance — Čukarički or draw (1X) | 73% |
| Double chance — Radnički Kragujevac or draw (X2) | 52% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 74% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 73% / 27% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 26% / 74% |
| Čukarički clean sheet | 35% |
| Radnički Kragujevac clean sheet | 22% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Čukarički is the model's most likely outcome at
45%. Čukarički are backed at home, where they average 1.7 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (51% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Čukarički vs Radnički Kragujevac — FAQ
Who will win Čukarički vs Radnički Kragujevac?
Our statistical model makes Čukarički the most likely result at 45%. Full probabilities: Čukarički 45%, draw 27%, Radnički Kragujevac 28%.
Will both teams score in Čukarički vs Radnički Kragujevac?
The model gives a 53% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Čukarički vs Radnički Kragujevac?
Expected goals are 1.51 for Čukarički and 1.06 for Radnički Kragujevac — about 2.6 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Čukarički vs Radnički Kragujevac?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (12%). Double chance for Čukarički or draw is 73%.