Ullern vs Union Carl Berner Prediction & Preview
3 Divisjon (Norway) · Aug 15, 2026 · kickoff 11:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
3 DIVISJON (NORWAY)
Ullern vs Union Carl Berner
Model pick: Ullern (49%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.16 – 0.52
Total goals: 1.7
Over 2.5: 35%
Both teams score: 41%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Ullern | Union Carl Berner |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.67 / 3.33 | 1.0 / 2.33 |
*Ullern shown at home, Union Carl Berner shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Ullern — last 5
LDL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Union Carl Berner — last 5
LLL
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Ullern (home) | Union Carl Berner (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 100% |
3 Divisjon (Norway) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 4.73
Home wins: 48%
Draws: 15%
Away wins: 37%
Over 2.5: 78%
BTTS: 69%
Use these 3 Divisjon (Norway) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.16 vs 0.52):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (22%) |
| Double chance — Ullern or draw (1X) | 83% |
| Double chance — Union Carl Berner or draw (X2) | 48% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 68% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 50% / 50% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 9% / 91% |
| Ullern clean sheet | 59% |
| Union Carl Berner clean sheet | 31% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Ullern is the model's most likely outcome at
49%. Ullern are backed at home, where they average 1.5 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (65% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Ullern vs Union Carl Berner — FAQ
Who will win Ullern vs Union Carl Berner?
Our statistical model makes Ullern the most likely result at 49%. Full probabilities: Ullern 49%, draw 32%, Union Carl Berner 19%.
Will both teams score in Ullern vs Union Carl Berner?
The model gives a 41% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Ullern vs Union Carl Berner?
Expected goals are 1.16 for Ullern and 0.52 for Union Carl Berner — about 1.7 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Ullern vs Union Carl Berner?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (22%). Double chance for Ullern or draw is 83%.