Ulm vs Fulda-Lehnerz Prediction & Preview
Regionalliga (Germany) · Aug 22, 2026 · kickoff 12:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
REGIONALLIGA (GERMANY)
Ulm vs Fulda-Lehnerz
Model pick: Fulda-Lehnerz (96%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.13 – 4.36
Total goals: 4.5
Over 2.5: 71%
Both teams score: 30%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Ulm | Fulda-Lehnerz |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.0 / 2.4 | 1.6 / 1.8 |
*Ulm shown at home, Fulda-Lehnerz shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Ulm — last 5
WLLLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 25% of the time; 57% of home games go over 2.5.
Fulda-Lehnerz — last 5
LDDWL
On the road: clean sheet 20% of the time; 80% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Ulm (home) | Fulda-Lehnerz (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 25% | 20% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57% | 80% |
Regionalliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.3
Home wins: 38%
Draws: 28%
Away wins: 34%
Over 2.5: 64%
BTTS: 64%
Use these Regionalliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.13 vs 4.36):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-4 (17%) |
| Double chance — Ulm or draw (1X) | 2% |
| Double chance — Fulda-Lehnerz or draw (X2) | 100% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 98% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 94% / 6% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 64% / 36% |
| Ulm clean sheet | 1% |
| Fulda-Lehnerz clean sheet | 88% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Fulda-Lehnerz is the model's most likely outcome at
96%. Despite playing away, Fulda-Lehnerz edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. With expected goals of 4.5, this shapes as an open game (71% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Ulm vs Fulda-Lehnerz — FAQ
Who will win Ulm vs Fulda-Lehnerz?
Our statistical model makes Fulda-Lehnerz the most likely result at 96%. Full probabilities: Ulm 0%, draw 3%, Fulda-Lehnerz 96%.
Will both teams score in Ulm vs Fulda-Lehnerz?
The model gives a 30% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Ulm vs Fulda-Lehnerz?
Expected goals are 0.13 for Ulm and 4.36 for Fulda-Lehnerz — about 4.5 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Ulm vs Fulda-Lehnerz?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-4 (17%). Double chance for Ulm or draw is 2%.