Ulsan vs Anyang Prediction & Preview
K-League (South Korea) · Aug 02, 2026 · kickoff 10:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
K-LEAGUE (SOUTH KOREA)
Ulsan vs Anyang
Model pick: Ulsan (46%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.42 – 1.25
Total goals: 2.7
Over 2.5: 51%
Both teams score: 54%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Ulsan | Anyang |
|---|
| League position | #4 (28 pts) | #6 (27 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.5 / 1.7 | 1.6 / 1.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 40% | 50% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.6 / 1.8 | 1.8 / 1.4 |
*Ulsan shown at home, Anyang shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Ulsan — last 5
DLDLW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 38% of the time; 50% of home games go over 2.5.
Anyang — last 5
LWDWW
On the road: clean sheet 24% of the time; 47% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Ulsan (home) | Anyang (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 4-1-5 in 10 (1.5 / 1.7 goals per game) | 5-4-1 in 10 (1.6 / 1.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 38% | 24% |
| Both teams scored | 53% | 54% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 47% |
| Top scorer | – | Moises Airton (3) |
K-League (South Korea) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.61
Home wins: 39%
Draws: 28%
Away wins: 32%
Over 2.5: 50%
BTTS: 55%
Use these K-League (South Korea) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.42 vs 1.25):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (12%) |
| Double chance — Ulsan or draw (1X) | 67% |
| Double chance — Anyang or draw (X2) | 59% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 74% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 75% / 25% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 28% / 72% |
| Ulsan clean sheet | 29% |
| Anyang clean sheet | 24% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Ulsan is the model's most likely outcome at
46%. Ulsan are backed at home, where they average 1.6 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (49% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
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❓ Ulsan vs Anyang — FAQ
Who will win Ulsan vs Anyang?
Our statistical model makes Ulsan the most likely result at 46%. Full probabilities: Ulsan 46%, draw 27%, Anyang 27%.
Will both teams score in Ulsan vs Anyang?
The model gives a 54% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Ulsan vs Anyang?
Expected goals are 1.42 for Ulsan and 1.25 for Anyang — about 2.7 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Ulsan vs Anyang?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (12%). Double chance for Ulsan or draw is 67%.