Ulytau vs Irtysh Prediction & Preview
Premier League (Kazakhstan) · Jul 25, 2026 · kickoff 13:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
PREMIER LEAGUE (KAZAKHSTAN)
Ulytau vs Irtysh
Model pick: Ulytau (35%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.7 – 0.59
Total goals: 1.3
Over 2.5: 39%
Both teams score: 46%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Ulytau | Irtysh |
|---|
| League position | #6 (27 pts) | #16 (11 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.1 / 0.6 | 0.8 / 1.3 |
| Win rate this season* | 67% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.0 / 1.0 | 0.6 / 0.6 |
*Ulytau shown at home, Irtysh shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Ulytau — last 5
DDLWD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 7% of the time; 50% of home games go over 2.5.
Irtysh — last 5
WLDDL
On the road: clean sheet 29% of the time; 37% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Ulytau (home) | Irtysh (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 6-2-1 in 9 (1.1 / 0.6 goals per game) | 0-5-4 in 9 (0.8 / 1.3 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 7% | 29% |
| Both teams scored | 79% | 34% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 37% |
Premier League (Kazakhstan) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.53
Home wins: 46%
Draws: 24%
Away wins: 31%
Over 2.5: 47%
BTTS: 48%
Use these Premier League (Kazakhstan) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.7 vs 0.59):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-0 (28%) |
| Double chance — Ulytau or draw (1X) | 73% |
| Double chance — Irtysh or draw (X2) | 67% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 60% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 37% / 63% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 4% / 96% |
| Ulytau clean sheet | 55% |
| Irtysh clean sheet | 50% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Ulytau is the model's most likely outcome at
35%. Ulytau are backed at home, where they average 1.1 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (61% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
40+ leagues
1X2 · O/U · BTTS · xG
JSON REST
Free tier available
Get API access on RapidAPI →
❓ Ulytau vs Irtysh — FAQ
Who will win Ulytau vs Irtysh?
Our statistical model makes Ulytau the most likely result at 35%. Full probabilities: Ulytau 35%, draw 32%, Irtysh 33%.
Will both teams score in Ulytau vs Irtysh?
The model gives a 46% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Ulytau vs Irtysh?
Expected goals are 0.7 for Ulytau and 0.59 for Irtysh — about 1.3 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Ulytau vs Irtysh?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-0 (28%). Double chance for Ulytau or draw is 73%.