Umea FF vs Umea FC Akademi Prediction & Preview
Division 2 (Sweden) · Aug 15, 2026 · kickoff 13:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
DIVISION 2 (SWEDEN)
Umea FF vs Umea FC Akademi
Model pick: Umea FF (49%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.75 – 1.13
Total goals: 2.9
Over 2.5: 54%
Both teams score: 55%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Umea FF | Umea FC Akademi |
|---|
| League position | #6 (11 pts) | #5 (11 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.7 / 2.8 | 1.3 / 2.5 |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 17% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.0 / 4.0 | 1.0 / 1.0 |
*Umea FF shown at home, Umea FC Akademi shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Umea FF — last 5
L
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 0% of home games go over 2.5.
Umea FC Akademi — last 5
D
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 0% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Umea FF (home) | Umea FC Akademi (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 0-2-4 in 6 (1.7 / 2.8 goals per game) | 1-2-3 in 6 (1.3 / 2.5 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 0% |
Division 2 (Sweden) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.17
Home wins: 51%
Draws: 24%
Away wins: 24%
Over 2.5: 60%
BTTS: 58%
Use these Division 2 (Sweden) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.75 vs 1.13):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (11%) |
| Double chance — Umea FF or draw (1X) | 75% |
| Double chance — Umea FC Akademi or draw (X2) | 48% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 76% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 78% / 22% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 33% / 67% |
| Umea FF clean sheet | 32% |
| Umea FC Akademi clean sheet | 17% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Umea FF is the model's most likely outcome at
49%. Umea FF are backed at home, where they average 0.0 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (46% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Umea FF vs Umea FC Akademi — FAQ
Who will win Umea FF vs Umea FC Akademi?
Our statistical model makes Umea FF the most likely result at 49%. Full probabilities: Umea FF 49%, draw 25%, Umea FC Akademi 26%.
Will both teams score in Umea FF vs Umea FC Akademi?
The model gives a 55% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Umea FF vs Umea FC Akademi?
Expected goals are 1.75 for Umea FF and 1.13 for Umea FC Akademi — about 2.9 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Umea FF vs Umea FC Akademi?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (11%). Double chance for Umea FF or draw is 75%.