Unia Swarzedz vs Wda Swiecie Prediction & Preview
III Liga (Poland) · Aug 22, 2026 · kickoff 15:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
III LIGA (POLAND)
Unia Swarzedz vs Wda Swiecie
Model pick: Wda Swiecie (62%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.29 – 1.4
Total goals: 1.7
Over 2.5: 35%
Both teams score: 35%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Unia Swarzedz | Wda Swiecie |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.8 / 1.8 | 1.8 / 1.0 |
*Unia Swarzedz shown at home, Wda Swiecie shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Unia Swarzedz — last 5
WWWLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 40% of the time; 80% of home games go over 2.5.
Wda Swiecie — last 5
WDDWD
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 33% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Unia Swarzedz (home) | Wda Swiecie (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 40% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 40% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 80% | 33% |
III Liga (Poland) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.23
Home wins: 42%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 33%
Over 2.5: 59%
BTTS: 67%
Use these III Liga (Poland) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.29 vs 1.4):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-1 (26%) |
| Double chance — Unia Swarzedz or draw (1X) | 34% |
| Double chance — Wda Swiecie or draw (X2) | 93% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 73% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 50% / 50% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 9% / 91% |
| Unia Swarzedz clean sheet | 25% |
| Wda Swiecie clean sheet | 75% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Wda Swiecie is the model's most likely outcome at
62%. Despite playing away, Wda Swiecie edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (65% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Unia Swarzedz vs Wda Swiecie — FAQ
Who will win Unia Swarzedz vs Wda Swiecie?
Our statistical model makes Wda Swiecie the most likely result at 62%. Full probabilities: Unia Swarzedz 10%, draw 29%, Wda Swiecie 62%.
Will both teams score in Unia Swarzedz vs Wda Swiecie?
The model gives a 35% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Unia Swarzedz vs Wda Swiecie?
Expected goals are 0.29 for Unia Swarzedz and 1.4 for Wda Swiecie — about 1.7 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Unia Swarzedz vs Wda Swiecie?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-1 (26%). Double chance for Unia Swarzedz or draw is 34%.