Union Gurten vs Vorwärts Steyr Prediction & Preview
Regionalliga (Austria) · Aug 14, 2026 · kickoff 17:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
REGIONALLIGA (AUSTRIA)
Union Gurten vs Vorwärts Steyr
Model pick: Draw (48%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.48 – 0.35
Total goals: 0.8
Over 2.5: 17%
Both teams score: 29%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Union Gurten | Vorwärts Steyr |
|---|
| League position | #2 (64 pts) | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 2.1 / 0.8 | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 67% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.4 / 1.8 | 1.2 / 0.8 |
*Union Gurten shown at home, Vorwärts Steyr shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Union Gurten — last 5
LLLWD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 33% of the time; 67% of home games go over 2.5.
Vorwärts Steyr — last 5
WWWLD
On the road: clean sheet 12% of the time; 57% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Union Gurten (home) | Vorwärts Steyr (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 10-3-2 in 15 (2.1 / 0.8 goals per game) | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 33% | 12% |
| Both teams scored | 67% | 57% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% | 57% |
Regionalliga (Austria) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.62
Home wins: 38%
Draws: 31%
Away wins: 31%
Over 2.5: 46%
BTTS: 49%
Use these Regionalliga (Austria) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.48 vs 0.35):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-0 (44%) |
| Double chance — Union Gurten or draw (1X) | 80% |
| Double chance — Vorwärts Steyr or draw (X2) | 71% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 49% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 20% / 80% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 1% / 99% |
| Union Gurten clean sheet | 70% |
| Vorwärts Steyr clean sheet | 62% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Draw is the model's most likely outcome at
48%. The model sees no clear favourite — a draw is live. Goals may be harder to come by (83% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
40+ leagues
1X2 · O/U · BTTS · xG
JSON REST
Free tier available
Get API access on RapidAPI →
❓ Union Gurten vs Vorwärts Steyr — FAQ
Who will win Union Gurten vs Vorwärts Steyr?
Our statistical model makes Draw the most likely result at 48%. Full probabilities: Union Gurten 30%, draw 48%, Vorwärts Steyr 22%.
Will both teams score in Union Gurten vs Vorwärts Steyr?
The model gives a 29% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Union Gurten vs Vorwärts Steyr?
Expected goals are 0.48 for Union Gurten and 0.35 for Vorwärts Steyr — about 0.8 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Union Gurten vs Vorwärts Steyr?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-0 (44%). Double chance for Union Gurten or draw is 80%.