Union Plaani vs PEPO Prediction & Preview
Kakkonen (Finland) · Jul 31, 2026 · kickoff 16:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
KAKKONEN (FINLAND)
Union Plaani vs PEPO
Model pick: Draw (37%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.7 – 0.75
Total goals: 1.4
Over 2.5: 31%
Both teams score: 40%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Union Plaani | PEPO |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.5 / 2.25 | 1.5 / 2.25 |
*Union Plaani shown at home, PEPO shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Union Plaani — last 5
WLLW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
PEPO — last 5
LWLW
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 50% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Union Plaani (home) | PEPO (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 50% |
Kakkonen (Finland) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 4.15
Home wins: 60%
Draws: 16%
Away wins: 24%
Over 2.5: 66%
BTTS: 69%
Use these Kakkonen (Finland) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.7 vs 0.75):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-0 (23%) |
| Double chance — Union Plaani or draw (1X) | 67% |
| Double chance — PEPO or draw (X2) | 70% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 63% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 43% / 57% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 6% / 94% |
| Union Plaani clean sheet | 47% |
| PEPO clean sheet | 50% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Draw is the model's most likely outcome at
37%. The model sees no clear favourite — a draw is live. Goals may be harder to come by (69% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Union Plaani vs PEPO — FAQ
Who will win Union Plaani vs PEPO?
Our statistical model makes Draw the most likely result at 37%. Full probabilities: Union Plaani 30%, draw 37%, PEPO 33%.
Will both teams score in Union Plaani vs PEPO?
The model gives a 40% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Union Plaani vs PEPO?
Expected goals are 0.7 for Union Plaani and 0.75 for PEPO — about 1.4 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Union Plaani vs PEPO?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-0 (23%). Double chance for Union Plaani or draw is 67%.