Union Saint-Gilloise vs Anderlecht Prediction & Preview
Pro League (Belgium) · Aug 30, 2026 · kickoff 16:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
PRO LEAGUE (BELGIUM)
Union Saint-Gilloise vs Anderlecht
Model pick: Union Saint-Gilloise (55%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.75 – 0.8
Total goals: 2.5
Over 2.5: 49%
Both teams score: 53%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Union Saint-Gilloise | Anderlecht |
|---|
| League position | #7 (4 pts) | #10 (3 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 0.0 / 0.0 | 0.0 / 1.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.4 / 1.6 | 1.8 / 0.8 |
*Union Saint-Gilloise shown at home, Anderlecht shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Union Saint-Gilloise — last 5
WDWLD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 39% of the time; 58% of home games go over 2.5.
Anderlecht — last 5
WWWLW
On the road: clean sheet 25% of the time; 51% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Union Saint-Gilloise (home) | Anderlecht (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 0-1-0 in 1 (0.0 / 0.0 goals per game) | 0-0-1 in 1 (0.0 / 1.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 39% | 25% |
| Both teams scored | 54% | 54% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58% | 51% |
Pro League (Belgium) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.89
Home wins: 43%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 32%
Over 2.5: 56%
BTTS: 56%
Use these Pro League (Belgium) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.75 vs 0.8):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (14%) |
| Double chance — Union Saint-Gilloise or draw (1X) | 83% |
| Double chance — Anderlecht or draw (X2) | 40% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 77% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 72% / 28% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 25% / 75% |
| Union Saint-Gilloise clean sheet | 45% |
| Anderlecht clean sheet | 17% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Union Saint-Gilloise is the model's most likely outcome at
55%. Union Saint-Gilloise are backed at home, where they average 1.9 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (51% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
40+ leagues
1X2 · O/U · BTTS · xG
JSON REST
Free tier available
Get API access on RapidAPI →
❓ Union Saint-Gilloise vs Anderlecht — FAQ
Who will win Union Saint-Gilloise vs Anderlecht?
Our statistical model makes Union Saint-Gilloise the most likely result at 55%. Full probabilities: Union Saint-Gilloise 55%, draw 25%, Anderlecht 20%.
Will both teams score in Union Saint-Gilloise vs Anderlecht?
The model gives a 53% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Union Saint-Gilloise vs Anderlecht?
Expected goals are 1.75 for Union Saint-Gilloise and 0.8 for Anderlecht — about 2.5 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Union Saint-Gilloise vs Anderlecht?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (14%). Double chance for Union Saint-Gilloise or draw is 83%.