United SC vs Mohammedan Prediction & Preview
Calcutta Premier Division (India) · Aug 21, 2026 · kickoff 09:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
CALCUTTA PREMIER DIVISION (INDIA)
United SC vs Mohammedan
Model pick: Mohammedan (66%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.54 – 1.93
Total goals: 2.5
Over 2.5: 48%
Both teams score: 45%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| United SC | Mohammedan |
|---|
| League position | n/a | #14 (3 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | 0.6 / 2.4 |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.2 / 0.6 | 2.2 / 0.6 |
*United SC shown at home, Mohammedan shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
United SC — last 5
DLWWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 25% of the time; 25% of home games go over 2.5.
Mohammedan — last 5
WWDWW
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | United SC (home) | Mohammedan (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | 0-3-7 in 10 (0.6 / 2.4 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 25% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 25% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 25% | 100% |
| Top scorer | – | Adison Singh Thokchom (2) |
Calcutta Premier Division (India) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.73
Home wins: 35%
Draws: 30%
Away wins: 35%
Over 2.5: 49%
BTTS: 48%
Use these Calcutta Premier Division (India) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.54 vs 1.93):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-1 (16%) |
| Double chance — United SC or draw (1X) | 29% |
| Double chance — Mohammedan or draw (X2) | 91% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 80% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 71% / 29% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 24% / 76% |
| United SC clean sheet | 15% |
| Mohammedan clean sheet | 58% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Mohammedan is the model's most likely outcome at
66%. Despite playing away, Mohammedan edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (52% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ United SC vs Mohammedan — FAQ
Who will win United SC vs Mohammedan?
Our statistical model makes Mohammedan the most likely result at 66%. Full probabilities: United SC 12%, draw 22%, Mohammedan 66%.
Will both teams score in United SC vs Mohammedan?
The model gives a 45% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in United SC vs Mohammedan?
Expected goals are 0.54 for United SC and 1.93 for Mohammedan — about 2.5 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in United SC vs Mohammedan?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-1 (16%). Double chance for United SC or draw is 29%.