Universitatea Craiova vs Voluntari Prediction & Preview
Liga I (Romania) · Aug 22, 2026 · kickoff 17:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
LIGA I (ROMANIA)
Universitatea Craiova vs Voluntari
Model pick: Universitatea Craiova (65%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 2.19 – 0.76
Total goals: 3.0
Over 2.5: 54%
Both teams score: 51%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Universitatea Craiova | Voluntari |
|---|
| League position | #25 (7 pts) | #12 (4 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.0 / 1.0 | 0.0 / 4.5 |
| Win rate this season* | 33% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.6 / 0.8 | 0.8 / 2.6 |
*Universitatea Craiova shown at home, Voluntari shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Universitatea Craiova — last 5
WDLWD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 40% of the time; 47% of home games go over 2.5.
Voluntari — last 5
DLWLL
On the road: clean sheet 25% of the time; 52% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Universitatea Craiova (home) | Voluntari (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 1-1-1 in 3 (1.0 / 1.0 goals per game) | 0-0-2 in 2 (0.0 / 4.5 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 40% | 25% |
| Both teams scored | 49% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 47% | 52% |
| Top scorer | Steven Nsimba (10) | – |
Liga I (Romania) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.39
Home wins: 43%
Draws: 28%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 43%
BTTS: 48%
Use these Liga I (Romania) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (2.19 vs 0.76):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 2-0 (13%) |
| Double chance — Universitatea Craiova or draw (1X) | 88% |
| Double chance — Voluntari or draw (X2) | 30% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 82% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 79% / 21% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 34% / 66% |
| Universitatea Craiova clean sheet | 47% |
| Voluntari clean sheet | 11% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Universitatea Craiova is the model's most likely outcome at
65%. Universitatea Craiova are backed at home, where they average 1.6 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (46% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Universitatea Craiova vs Voluntari — FAQ
Who will win Universitatea Craiova vs Voluntari?
Our statistical model makes Universitatea Craiova the most likely result at 65%. Full probabilities: Universitatea Craiova 65%, draw 21%, Voluntari 14%.
Will both teams score in Universitatea Craiova vs Voluntari?
The model gives a 51% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Universitatea Craiova vs Voluntari?
Expected goals are 2.19 for Universitatea Craiova and 0.76 for Voluntari — about 3.0 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Universitatea Craiova vs Voluntari?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 2-0 (13%). Double chance for Universitatea Craiova or draw is 88%.