Unter-Flockenbach vs Baunatal Prediction & Preview
Oberliga (Germany) · Aug 22, 2026 · kickoff 12:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
OBERLIGA (GERMANY)
Unter-Flockenbach vs Baunatal
Model pick: Unter-Flockenbach (54%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.05 – 0.22
Total goals: 1.3
Over 2.5: 27%
Both teams score: 31%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Unter-Flockenbach | Baunatal |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 3.75 / 1.5 | 0.67 / 1.67 |
*Unter-Flockenbach shown at home, Baunatal shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Unter-Flockenbach — last 5
WWWL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 100% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Baunatal — last 5
LDL
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Unter-Flockenbach (home) | Baunatal (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 100% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 100% |
Oberliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.43
Home wins: 41%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 34%
Over 2.5: 63%
BTTS: 62%
Use these Oberliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.05 vs 0.22):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (29%) |
| Double chance — Unter-Flockenbach or draw (1X) | 92% |
| Double chance — Baunatal or draw (X2) | 43% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 65% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 36% / 64% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 4% / 96% |
| Unter-Flockenbach clean sheet | 80% |
| Baunatal clean sheet | 35% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Unter-Flockenbach is the model's most likely outcome at
54%. Unter-Flockenbach are backed at home, where they average 6.0 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (73% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Unter-Flockenbach vs Baunatal — FAQ
Who will win Unter-Flockenbach vs Baunatal?
Our statistical model makes Unter-Flockenbach the most likely result at 54%. Full probabilities: Unter-Flockenbach 54%, draw 36%, Baunatal 10%.
Will both teams score in Unter-Flockenbach vs Baunatal?
The model gives a 31% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Unter-Flockenbach vs Baunatal?
Expected goals are 1.05 for Unter-Flockenbach and 0.22 for Baunatal — about 1.3 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Unter-Flockenbach vs Baunatal?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (29%). Double chance for Unter-Flockenbach or draw is 92%.