Unterhaching vs Augsburg II Prediction & Preview
Regionalliga (Germany) · Sep 05, 2026 · kickoff 12:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
REGIONALLIGA (GERMANY)
Unterhaching vs Augsburg II
Model pick: Augsburg II (42%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.86 – 1.17
Total goals: 2.0
Over 2.5: 41%
Both teams score: 47%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Unterhaching | Augsburg II |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.6 / 0.8 | 2.6 / 1.8 |
*Unterhaching shown at home, Augsburg II shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Unterhaching — last 5
WWDLD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 32% of the time; 48% of home games go over 2.5.
Augsburg II — last 5
WDWWD
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 67% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Unterhaching (home) | Augsburg II (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 32% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 49% | 83% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48% | 67% |
Regionalliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.25
Home wins: 34%
Draws: 30%
Away wins: 35%
Over 2.5: 63%
BTTS: 64%
Use these Regionalliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.86 vs 1.17):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-1 (15%) |
| Double chance — Unterhaching or draw (1X) | 57% |
| Double chance — Augsburg II or draw (X2) | 73% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 70% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 60% / 40% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 15% / 85% |
| Unterhaching clean sheet | 31% |
| Augsburg II clean sheet | 42% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Augsburg II is the model's most likely outcome at
42%. Despite playing away, Augsburg II edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (59% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Unterhaching vs Augsburg II — FAQ
Who will win Unterhaching vs Augsburg II?
Our statistical model makes Augsburg II the most likely result at 42%. Full probabilities: Unterhaching 28%, draw 31%, Augsburg II 42%.
Will both teams score in Unterhaching vs Augsburg II?
The model gives a 47% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Unterhaching vs Augsburg II?
Expected goals are 0.86 for Unterhaching and 1.17 for Augsburg II — about 2.0 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Unterhaching vs Augsburg II?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-1 (15%). Double chance for Unterhaching or draw is 57%.