Unterhaching vs Eltersdorf Prediction & Preview
Regionalliga (Germany) · Aug 08, 2026 · kickoff 12:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
REGIONALLIGA (GERMANY)
Unterhaching vs Eltersdorf
Model pick: Draw (56%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.54 – 0.02
Total goals: 0.6
Over 2.5: 10%
Both teams score: 9%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Unterhaching | Eltersdorf |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.4 / 1.6 | 0.2 / 1.4 |
*Unterhaching shown at home, Eltersdorf shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Unterhaching — last 5
LWLWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 32% of the time; 48% of home games go over 2.5.
Eltersdorf — last 5
LLDWL
On the road: clean sheet 50% of the time; 50% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Unterhaching (home) | Eltersdorf (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 32% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 49% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48% | 50% |
Regionalliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.35
Home wins: 37%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 38%
Over 2.5: 63%
BTTS: 55%
Use these Regionalliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.54 vs 0.02):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-0 (57%) |
| Double chance — Unterhaching or draw (1X) | 99% |
| Double chance — Eltersdorf or draw (X2) | 59% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 42% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 11% / 89% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 0% / 100% |
| Unterhaching clean sheet | 98% |
| Eltersdorf clean sheet | 58% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Draw is the model's most likely outcome at
56%. The model sees no clear favourite — a draw is live. Goals may be harder to come by (90% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Unterhaching vs Eltersdorf — FAQ
Who will win Unterhaching vs Eltersdorf?
Our statistical model makes Draw the most likely result at 56%. Full probabilities: Unterhaching 42%, draw 56%, Eltersdorf 2%.
Will both teams score in Unterhaching vs Eltersdorf?
The model gives a 9% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Unterhaching vs Eltersdorf?
Expected goals are 0.54 for Unterhaching and 0.02 for Eltersdorf — about 0.6 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Unterhaching vs Eltersdorf?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-0 (57%). Double chance for Unterhaching or draw is 99%.