Usti nad Orlici vs Letohrad Prediction & Preview
Liga 4 (Czech_Republic) · Aug 22, 2026 · kickoff 15:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
LIGA 4 (CZECH_REPUBLIC)
Usti nad Orlici vs Letohrad
Model pick: Usti nad Orlici (94%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 3.95 – 0.18
Total goals: 4.1
Over 2.5: 68%
Both teams score: 34%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Usti nad Orlici | Letohrad |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 3.4 / 1.8 | 1.0 / 5.0 |
*Usti nad Orlici shown at home, Letohrad shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Usti nad Orlici — last 5
WWDLW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Letohrad — last 5
LLL
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Usti nad Orlici (home) | Letohrad (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 100% |
Liga 4 (Czech_Republic) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.02
Home wins: 35%
Draws: 34%
Away wins: 31%
Over 2.5: 60%
BTTS: 62%
Use these Liga 4 (Czech_Republic) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (3.95 vs 0.18):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 3-0 (17%) |
| Double chance — Usti nad Orlici or draw (1X) | 100% |
| Double chance — Letohrad or draw (X2) | 3% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 97% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 92% / 8% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 58% / 42% |
| Usti nad Orlici clean sheet | 84% |
| Letohrad clean sheet | 2% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Usti nad Orlici is the model's most likely outcome at
94%. Usti nad Orlici are backed at home, where they average 2.0 goals a game. With expected goals of 4.1, this shapes as an open game (68% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Usti nad Orlici vs Letohrad — FAQ
Who will win Usti nad Orlici vs Letohrad?
Our statistical model makes Usti nad Orlici the most likely result at 94%. Full probabilities: Usti nad Orlici 94%, draw 5%, Letohrad 1%.
Will both teams score in Usti nad Orlici vs Letohrad?
The model gives a 34% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Usti nad Orlici vs Letohrad?
Expected goals are 3.95 for Usti nad Orlici and 0.18 for Letohrad — about 4.1 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Usti nad Orlici vs Letohrad?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 3-0 (17%). Double chance for Usti nad Orlici or draw is 100%.