Usti nad Orlici vs Prepere Prediction & Preview
Czechia Cup (Czech_Republic) · Aug 12, 2026 · kickoff 15:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
CZECHIA CUP (CZECH_REPUBLIC)
Usti nad Orlici vs Prepere
Model pick: Prepere (82%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.24 – 2.5
Total goals: 2.7
Over 2.5: 52%
Both teams score: 36%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Usti nad Orlici | Prepere |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.25 / 1.5 | 2.5 / 2.0 |
*Usti nad Orlici shown at home, Prepere shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Usti nad Orlici — last 5
DWWD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Prepere — last 5
LWWL
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Usti nad Orlici (home) | Prepere (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 100% |
Czechia Cup (Czech_Republic) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.59
Home wins: 39%
Draws: 0%
Away wins: 61%
Over 2.5: 77%
BTTS: 58%
Use these Czechia Cup (Czech_Republic) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.24 vs 2.5):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-2 (20%) |
| Double chance — Usti nad Orlici or draw (1X) | 13% |
| Double chance — Prepere or draw (X2) | 98% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 89% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 76% / 24% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 29% / 71% |
| Usti nad Orlici clean sheet | 8% |
| Prepere clean sheet | 79% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Prepere is the model's most likely outcome at
82%. Despite playing away, Prepere edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (48% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Usti nad Orlici vs Prepere — FAQ
Who will win Usti nad Orlici vs Prepere?
Our statistical model makes Prepere the most likely result at 82%. Full probabilities: Usti nad Orlici 4%, draw 14%, Prepere 82%.
Will both teams score in Usti nad Orlici vs Prepere?
The model gives a 36% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Usti nad Orlici vs Prepere?
Expected goals are 0.24 for Usti nad Orlici and 2.5 for Prepere — about 2.7 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Usti nad Orlici vs Prepere?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-2 (20%). Double chance for Usti nad Orlici or draw is 13%.