Ustrem Donchevo vs Svetkavitsa 2014 Prediction & Preview
V AFG (Bulgaria) · Aug 29, 2026 · kickoff 14:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
V AFG (BULGARIA)
Ustrem Donchevo vs Svetkavitsa 2014
Model pick: Svetkavitsa 2014 (91%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.42 – 3.98
Total goals: 4.4
Over 2.5: 70%
Both teams score: 44%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Ustrem Donchevo | Svetkavitsa 2014 |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 3.0 / 4.0 | 4.0 / 0.0 |
*Ustrem Donchevo shown at home, Svetkavitsa 2014 shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Ustrem Donchevo — last 5
L
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Svetkavitsa 2014 — last 5
W
On the road: clean sheet 100% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Ustrem Donchevo (home) | Svetkavitsa 2014 (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 100% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 100% |
V AFG (Bulgaria) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.08
Home wins: 43%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 32%
Over 2.5: 56%
BTTS: 60%
Use these V AFG (Bulgaria) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.42 vs 3.98):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-3 (13%) |
| Double chance — Ustrem Donchevo or draw (1X) | 6% |
| Double chance — Svetkavitsa 2014 or draw (X2) | 99% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 96% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 93% / 7% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 63% / 37% |
| Ustrem Donchevo clean sheet | 2% |
| Svetkavitsa 2014 clean sheet | 66% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Svetkavitsa 2014 is the model's most likely outcome at
91%. Despite playing away, Svetkavitsa 2014 edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. With expected goals of 4.4, this shapes as an open game (70% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
40+ leagues
1X2 · O/U · BTTS · xG
JSON REST
Free tier available
Get API access on RapidAPI →
❓ Ustrem Donchevo vs Svetkavitsa 2014 — FAQ
Who will win Ustrem Donchevo vs Svetkavitsa 2014?
Our statistical model makes Svetkavitsa 2014 the most likely result at 91%. Full probabilities: Ustrem Donchevo 2%, draw 7%, Svetkavitsa 2014 91%.
Will both teams score in Ustrem Donchevo vs Svetkavitsa 2014?
The model gives a 44% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Ustrem Donchevo vs Svetkavitsa 2014?
Expected goals are 0.42 for Ustrem Donchevo and 3.98 for Svetkavitsa 2014 — about 4.4 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Ustrem Donchevo vs Svetkavitsa 2014?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-3 (13%). Double chance for Ustrem Donchevo or draw is 6%.