USV Iasi vs Sporting Liesti Prediction & Preview
Romania Cup · Aug 19, 2026 · kickoff 14:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
ROMANIA CUP
USV Iasi vs Sporting Liesti
Model pick: USV Iasi (51%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 2.2 – 1.48
Total goals: 3.7
Over 2.5: 63%
Both teams score: 61%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| USV Iasi | Sporting Liesti |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.33 / 0.33 | 4.0 / 2.0 |
*USV Iasi shown at home, Sporting Liesti shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
USV Iasi — last 5
WWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 100% of the time; 0% of home games go over 2.5.
Sporting Liesti — last 5
WW
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | USV Iasi (home) | Sporting Liesti (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 100% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 100% |
Romania Cup — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.66
Home wins: 40%
Draws: 8%
Away wins: 52%
Over 2.5: 74%
BTTS: 48%
Use these Romania Cup averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (2.2 vs 1.48):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 2-1 (9%) |
| Double chance — USV Iasi or draw (1X) | 74% |
| Double chance — Sporting Liesti or draw (X2) | 46% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 80% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 88% / 12% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 50% / 50% |
| USV Iasi clean sheet | 23% |
| Sporting Liesti clean sheet | 11% |
🎯 Our Verdict
USV Iasi is the model's most likely outcome at
51%. USV Iasi are backed at home, where they average 1.0 goals a game. With expected goals of 3.7, this shapes as an open game (63% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
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❓ USV Iasi vs Sporting Liesti — FAQ
Who will win USV Iasi vs Sporting Liesti?
Our statistical model makes USV Iasi the most likely result at 51%. Full probabilities: USV Iasi 51%, draw 22%, Sporting Liesti 27%.
Will both teams score in USV Iasi vs Sporting Liesti?
The model gives a 61% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in USV Iasi vs Sporting Liesti?
Expected goals are 2.2 for USV Iasi and 1.48 for Sporting Liesti — about 3.7 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in USV Iasi vs Sporting Liesti?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 2-1 (9%). Double chance for USV Iasi or draw is 74%.