UTA Arad vs Csikszereda Prediction & Preview
Liga I (Romania) · Sep 05, 2026 · kickoff 14:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
LIGA I (ROMANIA)
UTA Arad vs Csikszereda
Model pick: UTA Arad (49%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.71 – 0.86
Total goals: 2.6
Over 2.5: 49%
Both teams score: 48%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| UTA Arad | Csikszereda |
|---|
| League position | #14 (6 pts) | #16 (1 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 0.7 / 0.7 | 0.5 / 2.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.6 / 1.0 | 1.2 / 1.6 |
*UTA Arad shown at home, Csikszereda shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
UTA Arad — last 5
DLDLD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 37% of the time; 39% of home games go over 2.5.
Csikszereda — last 5
LDWLL
On the road: clean sheet 21% of the time; 55% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | UTA Arad (home) | Csikszereda (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 0-3-0 in 3 (0.7 / 0.7 goals per game) | 0-0-4 in 4 (0.5 / 2.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 37% | 21% |
| Both teams scored | 46% | 41% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 39% | 55% |
| Top scorer | Marius Coman (8) | Marton Eppel (11) |
Liga I (Romania) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.39
Home wins: 43%
Draws: 28%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 43%
BTTS: 48%
Use these Liga I (Romania) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.71 vs 0.86):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (13%) |
| Double chance — UTA Arad or draw (1X) | 81% |
| Double chance — Csikszereda or draw (X2) | 42% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 76% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 73% / 27% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 26% / 74% |
| UTA Arad clean sheet | 42% |
| Csikszereda clean sheet | 18% |
🎯 Our Verdict
UTA Arad is the model's most likely outcome at
49%. UTA Arad are backed at home, where they average 1.2 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (51% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ UTA Arad vs Csikszereda — FAQ
Who will win UTA Arad vs Csikszereda?
Our statistical model makes UTA Arad the most likely result at 49%. Full probabilities: UTA Arad 49%, draw 28%, Csikszereda 23%.
Will both teams score in UTA Arad vs Csikszereda?
The model gives a 48% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in UTA Arad vs Csikszereda?
Expected goals are 1.71 for UTA Arad and 0.86 for Csikszereda — about 2.6 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in UTA Arad vs Csikszereda?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (13%). Double chance for UTA Arad or draw is 81%.